COMMODITY OUTLOOK
Gold:-
Gold
remains well bid heading into the last weekend before the U.S.
election. There was brief flurry of volatility off of the October jobs
report, but the yellow metal settled back in just above $1300 (COMEX).
October nonfarm payrolls came in at +161k. While that was below
expectations, the positive back-month revisions along with the continued
rise in hourly earnings made the report neutral to positive. With the
November FOMC meeting behind us as well, all attention is squarely on
Tuesday's election. Gold being the best in commodity segment for the
buyers. From the level of 30700 there was a resistance which leads to
the yellow metal week high of the level 30686. It made the resistance
and we are expecting that if it sustains above 30700 resistances then it
can breach to the next resistance level of 31000. We are positive for
this Gold prices and it seems like 31500 levels would be tested soon.
Silver:-
On
its one-year chart we can see that silver's corrective action from
early July has brought it all the way back to it’s steadily rising
200-day moving average, a classic buy spot, where a potential
intermediate base has formed. This corrective action has more than
completely unwound the earlier overbought condition. We saw a sharp
buying in the prices rising from 44200. If it breaks the level of 46000
it would be fill the big gap from 46000 to 47200. If the shining metal
breaks 44200 handle a bigger dent will appear which will give a good
profit booking for long buying positions. On lower end 42400 will be
first support and 44200 will be the initial resistance for the shining
metal.
Crude:-
U.S.
oil prices edged down to fresh five-week lows on Friday, as record high
U.S. supply data continued to weigh, as well as doubts over the
possibility of a production freeze deal by major oil producers. Crude
oil performing well on the sellers side and gave a good profit booking
to sellers from last five days. Analyzing the daily chart we feel a cool
down in the prices of crude oil. Since the commodity closed with
dominant sellers, so a deep fall can be seen in coming week where
support falls at 2870 and resistance at 3180.
Copper:
Copper
rising in daily chart was seen from past two weeks, if it sustains
above 336 levels, on the positive side it would be good for the buyers
to book profit around 338 resistances. This Chinese metal if sustains
above 338, can shoot up to 341 in the coming weeks, giving a major
breakout of 336 resistance level.
Zinc :
Zinc
rising in weekly chart was seen from past two weeks, if it sustains
above 166 levels, on the positive side it would be good for the buyers
to book profit around 168 resistances. This Chinese metal if sustains
above 168, can shoot up to 170 in the coming weeks, giving a major
breakout of 168 resistance level, maximum level for buyers to square of
their position.
Lead:-
Lead
prices are following trend line from a long time and we can see that
the price can pull back up to major support 136. Sustaining on
overbought zone, pullbacks can be we are expected in lead. From last
week we can see that there were some corrections taking place. This can
lead to 136 handle.
Nickel:-
In
last week, nickel makes new high and finally closed at 697.40. We saw a
sharp side way movement was seen on charting .From last two week there
was mixed movement seen in the nickel. For the coming days we are
expecting the prices to approach 705 levels where profit booking will
take place and above this handle some fresh side way market can take
place for levels. Looking for side way 706 will be immediate support
Aluminum:-
Aluminum
took some correction for the course of week and gave the positive
closing for the last day prices closed @ 114.80; this indicates the
bullish trend in daily chart. If it breaks the resistance of 116 then it
can further breach up to 119 on higher side for the coming week or else
can fall till 111 will be the first resistance for the rising price of
aluminum.
Commodity Trends:
| R1 | S1 |
GOLD | 30700 | 30200 |
SILVER | 44200 | 42400 |
CRUDE | 3180 | 2870 |
COPPER | 336 | 324 |
LEAD | 141 | 136 |
NICKEL | 706 | 675 |
ALUMINIUM | 116.50 | 108 |
ZINC | 166 | 107 |
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